Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.314235 0.366149 0.420902 0.482667 0.550120 0.621281 0.701756
2025-01-19 0.244842 0.316406 0.396736 0.492433 0.602201 0.723115 0.865318
2025-01-26 0.197933 0.282249 0.382472 0.507659 0.657198 0.827654 1.034192
2025-02-02 0.162443 0.255034 0.371219 0.522650 0.709966 0.929630 1.202274
2025-02-09 0.127797 0.222602 0.348490 0.519648 0.738540 1.002066 1.336317
2025-02-16 0.105006 0.201929 0.337508 0.528805 0.780452 1.090028 1.489596
2025-02-23 0.083320 0.178680 0.319668 0.526233 0.805597 1.156457 1.616788
2025-03-02 0.061447 0.150482 0.290927 0.505497 0.804446 1.188121 1.700040
2025-03-09 0.050056 0.137287 0.282375 0.511396 0.837727 1.263287 1.838058
2025-03-16 0.037787 0.119418 0.264101 0.501180 0.847522 1.307098 1.935976
2025-03-23 0.032913 0.114971 0.266813 0.521747 0.900105 1.407627 2.107715
2025-03-30 0.025922 0.104040 0.257123 0.522274 0.923661 1.469307 2.229402
2025-04-06 0.020078 0.094096 0.248249 0.523841 0.949289 1.535207 2.359139
2025-04-13 0.016434 0.088489 0.246541 0.536514 0.991221 1.623870 2.520082
2025-04-20 0.013813 0.084784 0.247908 0.553998 1.040432 1.723085 2.696091
2025-04-27 0.011516 0.081152 0.248910 0.570674 1.088592 1.821381 2.871898
2025-05-04 0.008321 0.072737 0.239008 0.567948 1.106854 1.877881 2.991891
2025-05-11 0.006483 0.068221 0.236654 0.577918 1.144513 1.961910 3.149757
2025-05-18 0.004460 0.061176 0.227661 0.575340 1.162223 2.017552 3.269292
2025-05-25 0.002374 0.050727 0.208877 0.553423 1.148264 2.027089 3.325257
2025-06-01 0.001604 0.046947 0.205529 0.559732 1.179206 2.101518 3.471063
2025-06-08 0.000786 0.040356 0.193700 0.548914 1.181747 2.134269 3.559068
2025-06-15 0.000611 0.039991 0.198568 0.570758 1.238188 2.246626 3.758917